First, there was the default last month by Tishman Speyer Properties and BlackRock Realty on billions of dollars in loans on Stuyvesant Town and Peter Cooper Village, the huge apartment complexes in Manhattan. When the deal was done, in 2006, it was the biggest of its kind in American history.
And this week, Simon Properties tried to buy General Growth Properties, its shopping mall rival, for $10 billion, a price General Growth says is too low even though the company is in bankruptcy.
Yet in the midst of this, financial advisers are telling their wealthy clients that there is tremendous opportunity in real estate. What is equally intriguing is that these investors are looking again at something as illiquid as a building, which goes to show just how quickly people can reacquire their appetite for risk if it means higher returns.
“The trick with investing in commercial real estate is not knowing if something is bad, but knowing if that ‘bad’ is priced in,” said David Frame, global head of alternative investments at J.P. Morgan Private Bank.
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