Like any business, real estate is subject to certain market forces that affect values. The life-blood of commercial real estate is affordable financing for the acquisition, development, redevelopment and refinancing of improved properties. The availability of financing is determined by the overall economy, overbuilding, interest rates, market perception (right or wrong), unemployment and, of course, local product supply and demand. Real estate prices can fluctuate wildly as these factors exert their influence.
Historically, real estate cycles typically have an average duration of six to nine years. There are four distinct phases to a commercial real estate cycle including: Recession, Recovery, Expansion and Contraction.
Recession
The Recession Phase follows a market contraction, when the availability of financing has dried up and property values fall precipitously. Properties experience vacancies and owners cannot sell because financing has become unavailable to prospective buyers. Prices fall far below the cost to construct the same facility new, resulting in many good buying opportunities for those with the liquidity to take advantage of market weakness. Foreclosures increase and property owners become even more motivated to sell as investors sit on the sidelines. The longer the Recession Phase drags on, the lower prices usually go. This is the time to buy.
Sphere: Related Content